Most Chinese reporting on the Brexit has been factual and dispassionate. Analyses are appearing however, that shed light on China’s interests and concerns in Europe and its beliefs about the historical meaning of the U.K.’s decision and its implications for the balance of power.

The Consensus Network (June 24, 2016), a liberal-leaning, independent website, focused on the implications for the internationalization of China’s currency.

China will be both harmed and helped by Brexit. On the plus side, if the U.K. leaves the EU, the geo-economic landscape will face restructuring and an independent England will have even greater need for foreign investment, which may provide enhanced opportunity for Chinese investment. The downside is that, because London is the largest offshore renminbi trading center, Brexit will affect the stability and internationalization of the renminbi.

总体来看，英国退欧对于中国而言利弊并存。有利的方面是，如果英国真的退欧的话，地缘经济格局将面临重组，而英国自身也更加需要外资的进入，这或给中国带来更多投资机会。弊端是，全球最大的离岸人民币国际交易中心在英国伦敦，人民币的稳定和国际化进程将受到影响。

The Global Times (June 24, 2016) a Party-run newspaper, adopted a tone of qualified triumphalism and questioned the wisdom of using a democracy to settle the question.

…These changes will benefit the United States the most. The direct result of the referendum is that the USD loses a rival currency, allowing America to more easily exert political control over the European Union. This has no direct adverse political impact on Russia or China. The dollar’s appreciation against the Euro and Pound sterling will put downward pressure on the RMB, but only in the short term.

In terms of Chinese society, we have arrived at a critical period where we need to understand the big questions for globalization and democracy. England is representative of Western democracy, What will be the result of its embrace of the referendum—the “highest form” of democracy—to decide this question? That is angle from with Chinese observers will continue to observe developments.

 世界的重心原来在大西洋，它的两侧分别是最发达的北美和欧洲。如今重心漂移到太平洋，东亚经历了几十年的高速发展和繁荣，而欧洲在原地踏步，逐渐成了世界的博物馆和旅游地，还有几个不错的学区。

这个变化对美国最为有利，直接结果是美元的强势地位从此失去了一个劲敌，美国也更容易在政治上控制欧洲。这件事对俄罗斯和中国没有直接的政治不利影响，人民币贬值压力会因美元兑欧元和英镑升值而加大，但这是短期的。

对中国社会来说，我们正处于认识全球化和民主这些重大问题的紧要期，英国是西式民主的代表性国家，它与民主“最高形式”公投的这一次拥抱最终将带来什么，这将是中国人观察这件事的持续性角度之一。

来源：http://www.wilsoncenter.org